Chidi Samuel| The number of persons with coronavirus in Lagos state may rise up to 39,000 in a worst-case scenario, the state commissioner for health, Akin Abayomi said on Friday.
He said with social distancing, the figure could be limited to 13,000 cases.
Nigeria currently has a total of 70 coronavirus cases and 44 of the cases are in Lagos.
At a news conference in Lagos on Friday, Abayomi said the state was doing something right in combating the scrouge when compared with what is happening in other parts of the world.
Abayomi said, “Our mathematical modelling shows that the worst-case scenario is that we may see up to 39,000 cases in Lagos.”
“If we add social distancing to active contact tracing, then we will be able to bend the curve further.”
“The figures may seem alarming at this point, but this is just to emphasise to the Lagos community to follow instructions of the incident commander to make sure that we practise social distancing.
“Looking at the same timeframe from the introduction of the index case, you can see that Lagos state is not seen anywhere near what Spain, Italy, and Iran are showing.
“So, at weeks two and three of our index case, we are flat and at week four, we have 37 cases; while at the same fourth week, Italy, Iran, and Spain had more than 20,000 cases.
“So, we are doing something right in the state. Then if we continue to do that, we will remain on the lower trajectory.
“It shows we are keeping the curve flat which is allowing us to keep up with the number of cases we have so far.”
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